Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 62.3%

MIN: 37.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.65

MIN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 37%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	33	30	3	90.9%	3.33	2	0.33
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	14	12	2	85.7%	1.19	0	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs MIN: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.49
1	MIN	17	0	0.61
2	VAN	7	0	0.44
2	MIN	14	0	0.74
3	VAN	6	0	0.27
3	MIN	22	1	1.60
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	MIN	2	1	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0