Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-04-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

VGK: 65.8%

NSH: 34.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.45

NSH: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	1	1.36
1	NSH	7	0	0.34
2	VGK	14	0	1.35
2	NSH	9	0	0.52
3	VGK	14	1	1.79
3	NSH	13	1	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7