Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

OTT: 59.1%

PHI: 40.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.49

PHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	PHI 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-11-08	PHI 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-23	OTT 2 - 1 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-04-13	OTT 4 - 3 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-03-11	PHI 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.36
1	PHI	10	1	1.05
2	OTT	15	2	1.03
2	PHI	14	1	1.46
3	OTT	15	0	0.54
3	PHI	14	3	1.40
4	OTT	1	0	0.07
4	PHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1