New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 57.0%

NYI: 43.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.49

NYI: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	23	22	1	95.7%	1.91	0	0.91
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	25	25	0	100.0%	2.21	0	2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs NYI: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	NYI 6 - 0 NJD	NYI	NJD
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	15	0.63
1	NYI	18	1.01
2	NJD	12	0.54
2	NYI	8	0.57
3	NJD	16	1.04
3	NYI	10	0.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.5 - 2.9