Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-04-13 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 58.2%
CBJ: 41.8%
Expected Goals
WSH: 2.95
CBJ: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | WSH | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.979 | 0.910 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | WSH 2 - 0 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-24 | WSH 5 - 1 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-10-24 | CBJ 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | CBJ |
| 2025-04-13 | WSH 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | WSH |
| 2025-04-12 | CBJ 7 - 0 WSH | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:10 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 14:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:39 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 01:57 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 15:48 | CBJ | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0