Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WPG: 49.5%

EDM: 50.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.08

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.91
1	EDM	14	0	0.85
2	WPG	8	1	0.99
2	EDM	27	3	2.66
3	WPG	9	0	0.43
3	EDM	16	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1