Chicago Blackhawks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-04-14 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 64.1%
CHI: 35.9%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.63
CHI: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | MTL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.903 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | MTL 4 - 1 CHI | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-11 | CHI 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | CHI |
| 2025-04-14 | MTL 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | MTL |
| 2025-01-03 | CHI 4 - 2 MTL | CHI | CHI |
| 2023-12-22 | CHI 2 - 5 MTL | MTL | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:00 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:32 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:41 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:03 | MTL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7