New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-04-14 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 62.0%

NYR: 38.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.87

NYR: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	0	0.80
1	NYR	9	1	0.59
2	FLA	18	1	1.41
2	NYR	13	0	0.76
3	FLA	16	1	0.89
3	NYR	10	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8