San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VAN: 68.1%

SJS: 31.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.76

SJS: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

VAN

Nikita Tolopilo - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Nikita Tolopilo	16	15	1	93.8%	1.63	1	0.63
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	37	35	2	94.6%	5.14	2	3.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	22	1	1.73
1	SJS	7	0	0.42
2	VAN	17	0	1.01
2	SJS	12	1	0.76
3	VAN	19	0	1.28
3	SJS	8	0	0.43
4	VAN	10	1	1.12
4	SJS	1	0	0.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 2.8 - 2.7