Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-04-15 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (72% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 72.0%
CHI: 28.0%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.62
CHI: 2.36
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.760 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | OTT 6 - 4 CHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-28 | CHI 7 - 3 OTT | CHI | OTT |
| 2025-04-15 | OTT 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | OTT |
| 2025-03-05 | CHI 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-28 | OTT 2 - 0 CHI | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:28 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:13 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:56 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 01:19 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:24 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:06 | OTT | Goal |
| 4 | 00:48 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 72.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.4
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