Los Angeles Kings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-04-15 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 50.4%

LAK: 49.6%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.16

LAK: 3.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	18	6	75.0%	2.16	1	-3.84
LAK	David Rittich	34	29	5	85.3%	3.41	2	-1.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs LAK: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	SEA 3 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-02-04	LAK 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-23	LAK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	LAK
2025-12-10	SEA 3 - 2 LAK	SEA	SEA
2025-04-15	SEA 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	1	0.73
1	LAK	7	0	0.48
2	SEA	16	0	1.12
2	LAK	12	1	1.06
3	SEA	19	1	1.56
3	LAK	15	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.6