Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

MTL: 50.2%

CAR: 49.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.58

CAR: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	14	1	1.23
1	CAR	7	1	0.69
2	MTL	7	0	0.68
2	CAR	18	0	0.90
3	MTL	11	1	1.42
3	CAR	20	1	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1