Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

WPG: 83.5%

ANA: 16.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.86

ANA: 2.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	31	30	1	96.8%	2.39	1	1.39
ANA	Ville Husso	44	42	2	95.5%	3.55	1	1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-09	WPG 1 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	WPG
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	28	1	1.94
1	ANA	12	0	0.68
2	WPG	19	0	0.82
2	ANA	17	0	0.87
3	WPG	15	0	0.54
3	ANA	18	1	0.84
4	WPG	2	0	0.24
4	ANA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 83.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.1