Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NJD: 49.3%

DET: 50.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.35

DET: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.39
1	DET	16	0	1.09
2	NJD	10	0	0.46
2	DET	13	0	0.68
3	NJD	23	1	1.40
3	DET	12	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0