Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-04-16 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 57.7%
DET: 42.3%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.03
DET: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NJD | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | DET |
| 2024-10-24 | DET 5 - 3 NJD | DET | DET |
| 2023-12-23 | NJD 3 - 2 DET | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:07 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:20 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 02:55 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:32 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 14:21 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:09 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:50 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9