Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-04-16 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 57.3%
EDM: 42.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.84
EDM: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | SJS | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • SJS at home vs EDM: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0 - 3 EDM | EDM | SJS |
| 2025-04-11 | EDM 4 - 2 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-03 | SJS 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | SJS |
| 2024-12-21 | EDM 3 - 2 SJS | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:20 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 10:17 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:23 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3