Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SJS: 43.3%

EDM: 56.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.97

EDM: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	28	25	3	89.3%	2.85	3	-0.15
EDM	Stuart Skinner	18	18	0	100.0%	1.35	0	1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.59
1	EDM	9	0	0.38
2	SJS	10	0	0.40
2	EDM	13	1	0.74
3	SJS	11	0	0.35
3	EDM	16	2	1.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2