Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-04-17 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

OTT: 57.3%

CAR: 42.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.28

CAR: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • OTT at home vs CAR: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	0	1.30
1	CAR	17	1	0.97
2	OTT	14	1	0.99
2	CAR	16	1	0.97
3	OTT	17	3	1.94
3	CAR	8	1	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 7 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.3 - 3.6