New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-04-17 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.6%

NYI: 50.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.57

NYI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

NYI

Marcus Hogberg - 0-0-0 | 0.714 SV% | 8.90 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	37	36	1	97.3%	3.17	2	2.17
NYI	Marcus Hogberg	26	20	6	76.9%	3.32	3	-2.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs NYI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYI 1 - 0 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2026-02-28	CBJ 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	CBJ
2025-12-28	CBJ 4 - 2 NYI	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-02	NYI 3 - 2 CBJ	NYI	NYI
2025-04-17	CBJ 6 - 1 NYI	CBJ	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	15	0	0.90
1	NYI	16	1	0.79
2	CBJ	16	2	1.81
2	NYI	23	0	1.15
3	CBJ	13	1	0.61
3	NYI	17	1	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0