New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-04-20 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 66.1%

NJD: 33.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.01

NJD: 2.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	24	23	1	95.8%	1.74	1	0.74
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	45	41	4	91.1%	4.40	2	0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	23	0	1.26
1	NJD	9	0	0.27
2	CAR	30	1	1.68
2	NJD	13	0	0.36
3	CAR	12	1	1.46
3	NJD	20	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 4.0 - 2.3