New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-04-22 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 65.4%

NJD: 34.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.29

NJD: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	26	25	1	96.2%	3.47	3	2.47
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	28	25	3	89.3%	4.76	2	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	1.22
1	NJD	14	1	0.93
2	CAR	20	0	1.11
2	NJD	16	0	1.14
3	CAR	21	2	2.43
3	NJD	14	2	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.5