Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-25 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (65% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 34.7%

CAR: 65.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.95

CAR: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	27	25	2	92.6%	2.94	1	0.94
CAR	Frederik Andersen	37	34	3	91.9%	5.24	7	2.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.04
1	CAR	7	0	0.33
2	NJD	14	3	1.80
2	CAR	23	1	1.21
3	NJD	14	1	1.13
3	CAR	9	0	0.87
4	NJD	16	1	1.06
4	CAR	9	0	0.52
5	NJD	3	0	0.21
5	CAR	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3