Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-25 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 46.7%

CAR: 53.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.78

CAR: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.04
1	CAR	7	0	0.33
2	NJD	14	3	1.80
2	CAR	23	1	1.21
3	NJD	14	1	1.13
3	CAR	9	0	0.87
4	NJD	16	1	1.06
4	CAR	9	0	0.52
5	NJD	3	0	0.21
5	CAR	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9