New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-04-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 66.3%

NJD: 33.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.63

NJD: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	35	31	4	88.6%	2.24	0	-1.76
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	54	49	5	90.7%	5.48	4	0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	0	0.40
1	NJD	13	0	1.15
2	CAR	18	1	1.66
2	NJD	13	0	0.47
3	CAR	27	2	2.05
3	NJD	10	0	0.47
4	CAR	20	0	0.84
4	NJD	4	0	0.03
5	CAR	7	1	0.54
5	NJD	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9