Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-24 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 7 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

STL: 56.3%

WPG: 43.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.32

WPG: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	19	17	2	89.5%	1.76	0	-0.24
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	21	7	75.0%	2.52	1	-4.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	WPG
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	25	1	1.40
1	WPG	9	0	0.32
2	STL	10	0	0.55
2	WPG	20	0	1.03
3	STL	8	0	0.57
3	WPG	12	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 7 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9