Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-04-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 46.1%

WPG: 53.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.12

WPG: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	31	30	1	96.8%	1.69	0	0.69
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	19	5	79.2%	2.62	2	-2.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs WPG: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	0	0.82
1	WPG	18	0	0.87
2	STL	16	2	0.87
2	WPG	13	0	0.36
3	STL	9	0	0.93
3	WPG	15	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1