Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-05-02 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 46.9%

WPG: 53.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.01

WPG: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	1	0.93
1	WPG	6	0	0.34
2	STL	21	2	1.59
2	WPG	16	1	1.74
3	STL	8	0	0.74
3	WPG	24	1	2.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9