St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-05-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

WPG: 51.9%

STL: 48.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.04

STL: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	4	0	0.07
1	STL	12	1	0.69
2	WPG	19	0	0.84
2	STL	18	0	1.02
3	WPG	20	0	1.12
3	STL	10	2	1.58
4	WPG	15	0	0.52
4	STL	10	0	0.60
5	WPG	14	0	0.53
5	STL	10	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4