Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-04-21 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 57.6%
COL: 42.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.07
COL: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | DAL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.818 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • DAL at home vs COL: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | COL |
| 2025-05-03 | DAL 4 - 2 COL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-01 | COL 7 - 4 DAL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-28 | DAL 6 - 2 COL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-26 | COL 4 - 0 DAL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:06 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:48 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:27 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:42 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:40 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:13 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 17:46 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7