Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-04-21 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 44.9%

COL: 55.1%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.64

COL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 4.8

Over 5.5: 36%

Over 6.5: 24%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs COL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	DAL 0 - 2 COL	COL	DAL
2026-03-18	COL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	COL
2026-03-06	DAL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-11	COL 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-03	DAL 4 - 2 COL	DAL	COL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:48	COL	Goal
1	19:06	DAL	Goal
2	03:40	DAL	Goal
2	04:42	DAL	Goal
2	19:27	COL	Goal
3	10:13	DAL	Goal
4	17:46	DAL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0