Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-04-26 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

COL: 71.2%

DAL: 28.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.87

DAL: 2.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • COL at home vs DAL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	DAL 0 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-18	COL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	COL
2026-03-06	DAL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-11	COL 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-03	DAL 4 - 2 COL	DAL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	22	2	1.67
1	DAL	13	2	0.99
2	COL	28	1	1.90
2	DAL	9	0	0.18
3	COL	18	2	1.35
3	DAL	15	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.9 - 2.2