Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-04-22 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 60.0%
MIN: 40.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.38
MIN: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | VGK | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3 - 2 VGK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-05-01 | MIN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | MIN |
| 2025-04-29 | VGK 3 - 2 MIN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-26 | MIN 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:15 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:35 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 09:56 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:04 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:59 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:26 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9