Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-04-29 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 67.0%
MIN: 33.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.36
MIN: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | VGK | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | VGK 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3 - 2 VGK | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-05-01 | MIN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-29 | VGK 3 - 2 MIN | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:25 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 08:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 13:24 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:31 | VGK | Goal |
| 4 | 04:05 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6
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