Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-05-01 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 58.4%
LAK: 41.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.51
LAK: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | EDM | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | LAK | ||
| 2026-01-10 | EDM 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | EDM |
| 2025-05-01 | EDM 6 - 4 LAK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-29 | LAK 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | LAK |
| 2025-04-27 | EDM 4 - 3 LAK | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:19 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 03:04 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 03:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 1 | 05:55 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 12:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:59 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:35 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 18:01 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:58 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8