Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-05-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 53.8%

LAK: 46.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.18

LAK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	27	23	4	85.2%	3.86	4	-0.14
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	29	23	6	79.3%	4.88	7	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	2	1.76
1	LAK	15	1	1.10
2	EDM	13	2	0.97
2	LAK	11	1	0.82
3	EDM	13	3	2.15
3	LAK	21	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1