Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-05-08 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 52.9%
CAR: 47.1%
Expected Goals
WSH: 2.76
CAR: 2.70
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | WSH | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.957 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | WSH 4 - 3 CAR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-11 | WSH 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | WSH |
| 2025-11-11 | CAR 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | CAR |
| 2025-05-15 | WSH 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | WSH |
| 2025-05-12 | CAR 5 - 2 WSH | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:16 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:26 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:54 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 2.7