Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-05-10 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 72.0%

WSH: 28.0%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.34

WSH: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.65
1	WSH	16	1	1.66
2	CAR	18	0	0.80
2	WSH	10	1	0.57
3	CAR	19	1	1.55
3	WSH	8	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.3 - 2.8