Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-05-10 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 60.3%
WSH: 39.7%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.52
WSH: 2.52
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | CAR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.957 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | WSH 4 - 3 CAR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-11 | WSH 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | WSH |
| 2025-11-11 | CAR 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | CAR |
| 2025-05-15 | WSH 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | WSH |
| 2025-05-12 | CAR 5 - 2 WSH | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:44 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:14 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5