Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-05-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

WPG: 63.4%

DAL: 36.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.46

DAL: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	20	1	1.80
1	DAL	15	0	0.76
2	WPG	15	0	0.68
2	DAL	14	1	1.02
3	WPG	11	1	1.30
3	DAL	8	1	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6