Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-05-09 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 68.9%
DAL: 31.1%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.49
DAL: 2.21
Total Goals
Median: 3.6
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | WPG | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.860 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | DAL 3 - 0 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-02-02 | DAL 4 - 3 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-09 | WPG 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-17 | DAL 2 - 1 WPG | DAL | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:35 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 07:07 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 11:02 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 16:20 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.5 - 2.2
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