Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-13 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DAL: 53.2%

WPG: 46.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.94

WPG: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	0	0.48
1	WPG	14	0	0.83
2	DAL	11	1	0.61
2	WPG	19	0	0.83
3	DAL	16	1	1.22
3	WPG	20	2	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.6