Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-05-13 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 38.3%
WPG: 61.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.12
WPG: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | DAL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.860 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | DAL 3 - 0 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-02-02 | DAL 4 - 3 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-09 | WPG 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-17 | DAL 2 - 1 WPG | DAL | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:36 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:02 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:23 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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