Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-05-20 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.8%
FLA: 38.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.10
FLA: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | CAR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:30 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 12:29 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:44 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:08 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:55 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:19 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0