Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-05-22 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 51.2%

FLA: 48.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.75

FLA: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	8	0	0.45
1	FLA	12	0	0.42
2	CAR	8	0	0.29
2	FLA	15	1	1.24
3	CAR	14	0	0.70
3	FLA	6	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4