Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-05-24 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 37.5%

CAR: 62.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.16

CAR: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.73
1	CAR	11	0	0.35
2	FLA	17	0	1.01
2	CAR	15	0	0.71
3	FLA	19	2	1.70
3	CAR	16	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2