Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-05-26 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

FLA: 39.7%

CAR: 60.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.03

CAR: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	28	25	3	89.3%	4.05	3	1.05
CAR	Frederik Andersen	20	20	0	100.0%	1.36	0	1.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	0	0.39
1	CAR	13	0	0.60
2	FLA	11	0	0.25
2	CAR	20	1	1.07
3	FLA	16	0	0.72
3	CAR	12	2	2.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0