Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-05-28 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 56.3%
FLA: 43.7%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.01
FLA: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | CAR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:39 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 18:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:23 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.