Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-05-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 61.8%

FLA: 38.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.22

FLA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	0	0.83
1	FLA	12	0	0.74
2	CAR	19	0	0.99
2	FLA	12	0	0.74
3	CAR	13	0	0.82
3	FLA	16	2	2.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1