Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-05-23 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 31.4%
EDM: 68.6%
Expected Goals
DAL: 1.92
EDM: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 26%
Over 6.5: 14%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | DAL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.820 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | DAL 7 - 2 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | EDM |
| 2025-11-04 | DAL 4 - 3 EDM | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-29 | DAL 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-05-27 | EDM 4 - 1 DAL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:23 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:36 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 0 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 1.9 - 3.0
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