Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-05-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

EDM: 65.3%

DAL: 34.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.56

DAL: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs DAL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	0.68
1	DAL	16	1	0.92
2	EDM	8	0	0.53
2	DAL	29	3	2.45
3	EDM	12	0	1.12
3	DAL	7	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5