Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-29 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DAL: 42.4%

EDM: 57.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.98

EDM: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	DAL 7 - 2 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-11-25	EDM 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	EDM
2025-11-04	DAL 4 - 3 EDM	DAL	DAL
2025-05-29	DAL 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-05-27	EDM 4 - 1 DAL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	9	0	0.50
1	EDM	14	2	1.30
2	DAL	13	1	1.31
2	EDM	14	1	0.97
3	DAL	11	0	0.49
3	EDM	8	1	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3