Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-06-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

EDM: 52.1%

FLA: 47.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.89

FLA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	1	1.56
1	FLA	15	0	0.86
2	EDM	13	1	0.76
2	FLA	23	2	1.66
3	EDM	19	0	1.05
3	FLA	6	0	0.26
4	EDM	16	1	1.00
4	FLA	15	2	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1