Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-06-12 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 50.4%

EDM: 49.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.52

EDM: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	26	1	2.23
1	EDM	12	1	0.51
2	FLA	10	0	0.38
2	EDM	24	2	2.40
3	FLA	17	0	0.73
3	EDM	10	0	0.64
4	FLA	8	0	0.37
4	EDM	7	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.4