Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-06-14 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 54.8%
FLA: 45.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.48
FLA: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | EDM | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | EDM 0 - 4 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-11-22 | FLA 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | FLA |
| 2025-06-17 | FLA 5 - 1 EDM | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-06-14 | EDM 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | EDM |
| 2025-06-12 | FLA 4 - 5 EDM | EDM | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 18:06 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:24 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:10 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:41 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2
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