Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-06-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 57.8%

FLA: 42.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.36

FLA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • EDM at home vs FLA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	6	0	0.45
1	FLA	17	0	1.09
2	EDM	15	0	0.62
2	FLA	10	1	0.49
3	EDM	16	0	0.56
3	FLA	8	3	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9