Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-10-07 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 0 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NYR: 42.3%

PIT: 57.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.74

PIT: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.77
1	PIT	11	0	0.68
2	NYR	17	0	0.67
2	PIT	10	0	0.51
3	NYR	8	0	0.40
3	PIT	20	2	2.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 0 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2