Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-10-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

LAK: 41.4%

COL: 58.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.17

COL: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.42
1	COL	13	1	0.65
2	LAK	13	0	0.46
2	COL	14	1	0.86
3	LAK	20	1	1.58
3	COL	6	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.2 - 3.6