Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-10-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 40.1%

COL: 59.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.21

COL: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	LAK	COL
Season SV%	0.913	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	23	19	4	82.6%	1.92	2	-2.08
COL	Scott Wedgewood	25	24	1	96.0%	2.46	1	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	9	0	0.42
1	COL	13	1	0.65
2	LAK	13	0	0.46
2	COL	14	1	0.86
3	LAK	20	1	1.58
3	COL	6	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown