Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-10-08 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 50.0%
BOS: 50.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.34
BOS: 3.74
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | WSH | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.972 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | WSH 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | WSH |
| 2025-04-01 | BOS 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | BOS |
| 2024-12-31 | WSH 3 - 1 BOS | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-23 | BOS 4 - 1 WSH | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-04-15 | WSH 2 - 0 BOS | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:07 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:02 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:03 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.3 - 3.7