Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-10-08 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 39.8%
BOS: 60.2%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.50
BOS: 3.53
Total Goals
Median: 7.7
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | WSH | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.954 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | WSH 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | WSH |
| 2026-03-07 | BOS 3 - 1 WSH | BOS | WSH |
| 2025-10-08 | WSH 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-01 | BOS 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | BOS |
| 2024-12-31 | WSH 3 - 1 BOS | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:07 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:03 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:02 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 1 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.5 - 3.5
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