Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-10-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 53.6%

LAK: 46.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.64

LAK: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 3.5

Over 5.5: 24%

Over 6.5: 15%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VGK at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:41	LAK	Goal
1	11:57	LAK	Goal
2	02:10	LAK	Goal
2	13:41	LAK	Goal
2	17:32	LAK	Goal
2	19:14	VGK	Goal
3	05:06	VGK	Goal
3	08:43	VGK	Goal
3	11:39	VGK	Goal
3	14:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 6 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.6 - 2.8