Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-09 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 67.7%
CHI: 32.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.56
CHI: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 8.3
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 68%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | CHI 2 - 5 BOS | BOS | CHI |
| 2025-10-09 | BOS 4 - 3 CHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-10 | BOS 2 - 5 CHI | CHI | BOS |
| 2024-12-04 | CHI 2 - 4 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-10-24 | CHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:53 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 08:19 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 02:22 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:10 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:15 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 02:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 02:12 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.