Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-10-09 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

BOS: 70.3%

CHI: 29.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.43

CHI: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	CHI 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-10-09	BOS 4 - 3 CHI	BOS	BOS
2025-04-10	BOS 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	BOS
2024-12-04	CHI 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	CHI
2023-10-24	CHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	0.47
1	CHI	12	0	0.65
2	BOS	11	1	1.03
2	CHI	11	0	0.71
3	BOS	21	2	2.17
3	CHI	9	0	0.70
4	BOS	2	0	0.26
4	CHI	3	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1